Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.549549 3.963075 4.412009 4.936659 5.534319 6.195496 6.984444
2025-02-23 2.970797 3.528143 4.177683 4.994783 6.001063 7.207281 8.773835
2025-03-02 2.518225 3.126423 3.872627 4.863719 6.157785 7.806960 10.094901
2025-03-09 2.224301 2.861457 3.676267 4.807561 6.357930 8.437968 11.490721
2025-03-16 1.995293 2.644486 3.504193 4.743786 6.514881 8.999955 12.833189
2025-03-23 1.892316 2.579127 3.519100 4.924079 7.013595 10.076031 15.037110
2025-03-30 1.748316 2.439856 3.413137 4.913430 7.223383 10.740177 16.689454
2025-04-06 1.616690 2.304368 3.296816 4.869913 7.369747 11.311253 18.253166
2025-04-13 1.446225 2.097049 3.055700 4.610342 7.146144 11.262510 18.761907
2025-04-20 1.363863 2.014289 2.993622 4.621530 7.353316 11.931737 20.591258
2025-04-27 1.310308 1.970589 2.986608 4.717587 7.706274 12.879661 23.045939
2025-05-04 1.260145 1.927748 2.976329 4.805047 8.049693 13.843698 25.661307
2025-05-11 1.204624 1.874018 2.946935 4.862077 8.353934 14.788089 28.417954
2025-05-18 1.151683 1.820641 2.913894 4.909550 8.645735 15.744570 31.355570
2025-05-25 1.071692 1.716647 2.787657 4.779290 8.590926 16.021707 32.887622
2025-06-01 1.012029 1.642720 2.707083 4.723923 8.671435 16.572847 35.103489
2025-06-08 0.956388 1.571933 2.626699 4.661359 8.730011 17.082927 37.303177
2025-06-15 0.942081 1.571890 2.671142 4.838035 9.285869 18.705948 42.422983
2025-06-22 0.901084 1.521822 2.621471 4.827597 9.453677 19.505275 45.650756
2025-06-29 0.858677 1.466556 2.558374 4.784951 9.548145 20.150124 48.593778
2025-07-06 0.791074 1.361641 2.396307 4.530559 9.160561 19.642317 48.386507
2025-07-13 0.762615 1.327249 2.365221 4.541524 9.358512 20.533635 52.170482
2025-07-20 0.746208 1.314259 2.374011 4.635669 9.752375 21.945687 57.702439